Together leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Together | 84% | +18% | $31K |
| 2 | Party A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Party B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Party C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Party D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Party E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Party F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Party G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Party H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Party I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Party J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Party K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Party L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Party M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Party N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Party O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Party P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Party Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Party R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Party S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the...
This prediction market tracks whether Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place will occur, with $43K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Together at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (75% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 14, 2026 at 20:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Together at 84% probability, with $43K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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