This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Cox | 52% | $92K |
| 2 | Ed Hale | 32% | $11K |
| 3 | Christopher Bouchat | 5% | $5K |
| 4 | Steve Hershey | 4% | $344K |
| 5 | Kurt Wedekind | 3% | $767 |
| 6 | John Myrick | 3% | $3K |
| 7 | Carl Brunner | 2% | $950 |
| 8 | Larry Hogan | 2% | $47K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Dan Cox at 52% probability, with $504K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $504K, with $103K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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