The market strongly favors Dan Cox at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Cox | 88% | +13% | $129K |
| 2 | Ed Hale BEST VALUE | 11% | +843% | $42K |
| 3 | John Myrick | 1% | +16567% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the pri...
This prediction market tracks whether Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner will occur, with $613K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Dan Cox is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $23K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 05:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Dan Cox at 88% probability, with $613K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $613K, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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