Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Ends Sep 20, 2026 · Volume: $493K · 24h: $15K · Updated Aug 27, 2026 at 12:45 UTC
PredScope Signal: Strong Consensus

The market strongly favors AfD at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.

📊 Steady Normal trading activity — $15K in 24h
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 AfD 90% +10% $111K
2 SPD 10% +953% $102K
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Quick Math — $100 on AfD
Buy Price
$0.91
If Right
+$10.50
Return
+10%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner will occur, with $493K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

The market shows strong consensus: AfD is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.

The market has seen $15K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$493K
Liquidity
$279K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?

As of Aug 27, 2026 at 12:45 UTC, the leading outcome is AfD at 90% probability, with $493K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?

The total trading volume for this market is $493K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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