Chung Tung-chin leads at 69%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chung Tung-chin | 69% | +46% | $13K |
| 2 | Candidate A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Candidate L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Candidate M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Candidate N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Candidate O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Candidate P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Candidate Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Candidate R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Candidate S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this elect...
This prediction market tracks whether Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Chung Tung-chin at 69%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (81% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Chung Tung-chin at 69% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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