Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Macomb County Winner

Ends Aug 04, 2026 · Volume: $18K · 24h: $13K · Updated Aug 02, 2026 at 14:35 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

Abdul El-Sayed leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 71% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Abdul El-Sayed 68% +48% $15K
2 Candidate A 50% +100% -
3 Candidate B 50% +100% -
4 Candidate C 50% +100% -
5 Other 50% +100% -
6 Haley Stevens BEST VALUE 31% +223% $3K
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Quick Math — $100 on Abdul El-Sayed
Buy Price
$0.68
If Right
+$48.15
Return
+48%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be hel...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Macomb County Winner will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

Traders lean toward Abdul El-Sayed at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (71% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$18K
Liquidity
$45K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Macomb County Winner?

As of Aug 02, 2026 at 14:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 68% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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