No clear favorite. September 30 leads at just 25%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | September 30 | 25% | +300% | - |
| 2 | December 31 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $6K |
| 3 | June 30 | 2% | +5614% | $1.2M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Ot...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is September 30 at 25% probability, with $1.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.2M, with $322K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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