Ulrich Siegmund leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulrich Siegmund | 77% | +30% | $289K |
| 2 | Candidate E BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Candidate P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Candidate Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Candidate R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Candidate S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Candidate T | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Candidate U | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Candidate V | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Candidate W | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of M...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? will occur, with $401K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Ulrich Siegmund at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-06-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Ulrich Siegmund at 77% probability, with $401K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $401K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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