Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 68% | +48% | $14K |
| 2 | Christine Fréchette | 22% | +349% | $20K |
| 3 | Charles Milliard BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the sp...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Premier of Quebec will occur, with $81K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $11K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 27, 2026 at 22:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 68% probability, with $81K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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