No clear favorite. No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? leads at just 1%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? | 1% | +11665% | $64K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this...
This prediction market tracks whether No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? will occur, with $64K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? leads at only 1% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (29% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 22, 2026 at 11:25 UTC, the leading outcome is No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? at 1% probability, with $64K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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