Market is split — Person A at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Person A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Cooper 15-18% | 24% | +315% | $15K |
| 4 | Cooper 18%+ | 24% | +318% | $37K |
| 5 | Cooper 9-12% | 20% | +413% | $14K |
| 6 | Cooper 12-15% | 19% | +415% | $14K |
| 7 | Cooper 6-9% BEST VALUE | 6% | +1624% | $14K |
| 8 | Cooper 3-6% | 2% | +4067% | $7K |
| 9 | Cooper 0-3% | 2% | +5028% | $4K |
| 10 | Whatley 3-6% | 1% | +7043% | $2K |
| 11 | Whatley 0-3% | 1% | +7043% | $3K |
| 12 | Whatley 6%+ | 1% | +14186% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 North Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specifi...
This prediction market tracks whether North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory will occur, with $111K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Person A leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Recent trading volume of $14K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 02, 2026 at 23:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Person A at 50% probability, with $111K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $111K, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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