The market strongly favors Jorginho Mello at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorginho Mello | 88% | +13% | $6K |
| 2 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Marcelo Brigadeiro BEST VALUE | 11% | +809% | $3K |
| 14 | João Rodrigues | 1% | +11665% | $862 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the firs...
This prediction market tracks whether Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner will occur, with $75K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Jorginho Mello is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $66K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Jorginho Mello at 88% probability, with $75K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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