No clear favorite. October 31 leads at just 12%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | October 31 | 12% | +700% | $3K |
| 2 | October 9 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1686% | $4K |
| 3 | September 25 | 2% | +6150% | $4K |
| 4 | October 2 | 1% | +8991% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto...
This prediction market tracks whether Senate passes Clarity Act by...? will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — October 31 leads at only 12% across 4 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 03:05 UTC, the leading outcome is October 31 at 12% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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