The market strongly favors Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor | 99% | +1% | $11K |
| 2 | List A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | List B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | List C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | List D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | List E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | List F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | List G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | List H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | List I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | List J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | List K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | List L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | List M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | List N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | List O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | List P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | List Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | List R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | List S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the third...
This prediction market tracks whether Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place will occur, with $59K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (29% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 26, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor at 99% probability, with $59K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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