Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | 64% | +56% | $7K |
| 2 | List A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | List B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | List C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | List D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | List E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | List F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | List G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | List H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | List I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | List J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | List K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | List L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | List M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | List N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | List O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | List P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | List Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | List R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | List S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the great...
This prediction market tracks whether Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (89% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 64% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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