The market strongly favors Darline Graham Nordone (R) at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darline Graham Nordone (R) | 86% | +16% | $68K |
| 2 | Annie Andres (D) | 14% | +641% | $110K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event...
This prediction market tracks whether South Carolina Senate Election Winner will occur, with $178K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Darline Graham Nordone (R) is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $11K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Darline Graham Nordone (R) at 86% probability, with $178K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $178K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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