The market strongly favors Christian Democrats (KD) at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Democrats (KD) | 90% | +12% | $15K |
| 2 | Party B BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Party C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Party D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Party E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Party F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Party G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Party H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Party I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Party J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Party K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Party L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Party M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Party N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Party O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Party P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Party Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Party R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Party S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Party T | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish...
This prediction market tracks whether Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Christian Democrats (KD) is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (24% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 14, 2026 at 00:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Christian Democrats (KD) at 90% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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