Market is split — <105 at 42%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | <105 | 42% | +141% | $8K |
| 2 | 105-109 | 28% | +257% | $9K |
| 3 | 110-114 | 14% | +641% | $5K |
| 4 | 120-124 | 8% | +1105% | $1K |
| 5 | 115-119 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1308% | $775 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedi...
This prediction market tracks whether Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats? will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with <105 leading at just 42%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (48% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 07, 2026 at 17:25 UTC, the leading outcome is <105 at 42% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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