No clear favorite. Neutrality initiative leads at just 3%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neutrality initiative | 3% | +3348% | $58K |
| 2 | Food initiative | 1% | +7307% | $19K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026: - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: P...
This prediction market tracks whether Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass? will occur, with $77K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Neutrality initiative leads at only 3% across 2 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (20% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 25, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Neutrality initiative at 3% probability, with $77K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms