Market is split — December 31 at 46%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 46% | +117% | $1K |
| 2 | June 30 | 14% | +590% | $196K |
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On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more abou...
This prediction market tracks whether Trump renames ICE to NICE by...? will occur, with $196K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with December 31 leading at just 46%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Recent trading volume of $17K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 46% probability, with $196K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $196K, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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