No clear favorite. Oil Sanction Relief leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oil Sanction Relief | 26% | +277% | $131K |
| 2 | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | 25% | +300% | $406K |
| 3 | Troop Withdrawal BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | $55K |
| 4 | Enrichment of Uranium | 4% | +2603% | $217K |
| 5 | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | 4% | +2640% | $184K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Continued enri...
This prediction market tracks whether What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? will occur, with $990K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Oil Sanction Relief leads at only 26% across 5 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $193K traded in the last 24 hours alone (20% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Oil Sanction Relief at 26% probability, with $990K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $990K, with $193K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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