No clear favorite. US recession by end of 2026? leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US recession by end of 2026? | 16% | +506% | $1.6M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than...
This prediction market tracks whether US recession by end of 2026? will occur, with $1.6M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — US recession by end of 2026? leads at only 16% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $12K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US recession by end of 2026? at 16% probability, with $1.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.6M, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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