The market strongly favors Delcy Rodríguez at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Delcy Rodríguez BEST VALUE | 94% | +6% | $103K |
| 2 | María Corina Machado | 3% | +3233% | $53K |
| 3 | Dinorah Figuera | 1% | +9900% | $5K |
| 4 | No Head of State | 1% | +16567% | $67K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de fact...
This prediction market tracks whether Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? will occur, with $389K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Delcy Rodríguez is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $12K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Delcy Rodríguez at 94% probability, with $389K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $389K, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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