The market strongly favors Crime at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crime | 100% | - | $129 |
| 2 | Russia | 100% | - | $249 |
| 3 | UFC | 94% | +7% | $114K |
| 4 | Dana / White | 52% | +92% | $518 |
| 5 | Mexico | 49% | +104% | $70 |
| 6 | China | 49% | +104% | $127 |
| 7 | Pope | 48% | +106% | $16 |
| 8 | Wall Street | 48% | +106% | $101 |
| 9 | Scam | 48% | +106% | $43 |
| 10 | Football | 48% | +106% | $70 |
| 11 | Gold / Golden | 48% | +108% | $21 |
| 12 | Soccer | 48% | +108% | $101 |
| 13 | Israel | 44% | +125% | $17 |
| 14 | Knicks | 10% | +900% | $114 |
| 15 | Uranium BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $78 |
| 16 | Crypto / Bitcoin | 3% | +3179% | $25 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump post this week? (June 23 - 28) will occur, with $114K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by executive actions, legal proceedings, and political maneuvering.
The market shows strong consensus: Crime is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $114K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 28, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Crime at 100% probability, with $114K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $114K, with $114K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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