No clear favorite. M + KD + L + C leads at just 37%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M + KD + L + C | 37% | +168% | $21K |
| 2 | S + MP + C | 17% | +473% | $18K |
| 3 | S + MP + C + V | 14% | +641% | $32K |
| 4 | S + MP | 10% | +900% | $21K |
| 5 | S | 8% | +1076% | $19K |
| 6 | M + KD + L | 7% | +1270% | $19K |
| 7 | M + KD + L + SD BEST VALUE | 6% | +1686% | $19K |
| 8 | S + MP + V | 3% | +3536% | $8K |
| 9 | M | 2% | +4778% | $8K |
| 10 | Other | 1% | +8233% | $7K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. A party...
This prediction market tracks whether Which coalition will form the next Swedish government? will occur, with $215K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — M + KD + L + C leads at only 37% across 10 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $21K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 06, 2026 at 16:55 UTC, the leading outcome is M + KD + L + C at 37% probability, with $215K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $215K, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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