Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Ends Dec 31, 2026 · Volume: $339K · 24h: $19K · Updated Aug 24, 2026 at 18:55 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 leads at 66%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

Active 24h volume is 5.6% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 66% +52% $215K
2 December 9% +1011% $17K
3 September 8% +1233% $17K
4 November 8% +1233% $7K
5 October BEST VALUE 6% +1438% $9K
6 August 1% +11665% $48K
Trade This Market on Polymarket →

Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence

Quick Math — $100 on No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
Buy Price
$0.66
If Right
+$51.52
Return
+52%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? will occur, with $339K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

Traders lean toward No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 at 66%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Recent trading volume of $19K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$339K
Liquidity
$277K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal??

As of Aug 24, 2026 at 18:55 UTC, the leading outcome is No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 at 66% probability, with $339K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal??

The total trading volume for this market is $339K, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

Related Markets

Learn More

What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms