No clear favorite. CXMT leads at just 30%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CXMT | 30% | +239% | $40K |
| 2 | CATL | 26% | +285% | $55K |
| 3 | Hesai | 18% | +471% | $13K |
| 4 | Unitree | 17% | +488% | $20K |
| 5 | Baidu | 16% | +506% | $99K |
| 6 | Alibaba | 14% | +641% | $63K |
| 7 | Tencent | 14% | +641% | $47K |
| 8 | YMTC | 12% | +700% | $39K |
| 9 | DJI | 10% | +852% | $33K |
| 10 | BYD BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $97K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? will occur, with $506K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
No clear favorite has emerged — CXMT leads at only 30% across 10 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $32K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 14, 2026 at 09:35 UTC, the leading outcome is CXMT at 30% probability, with $506K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $506K, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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