Market is split — Alibaba at 46%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alibaba | 46% | +115% | $13K |
| 2 | Baidu | 45% | +122% | $815 |
| 3 | YMTC | 44% | +127% | $4K |
| 4 | CATL | 40% | +153% | $5K |
| 5 | BYD | 38% | +160% | $3K |
| 6 | Unitree | 38% | +163% | $1K |
| 7 | DJI | 36% | +182% | $6K |
| 8 | Tencent | 32% | +217% | $2K |
| 9 | CXMT BEST VALUE | 30% | +233% | $805 |
| 10 | Hesai | 30% | +233% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
The market is closely contested, with Alibaba leading at just 46%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (68% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Alibaba at 46% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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