The market strongly favors Giorgia Meloni at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giorgia Meloni | 100% | - | $19K |
| 2 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | - | $40K |
| 3 | Xi Jinping | 100% | - | $158K |
| 4 | Keir Starmer | 100% | - | $21K |
| 5 | Lula da Silva | 100% | - | $8K |
| 6 | Javier Milei | 100% | - | $7K |
| 7 | Abdel Fattah El-Sisi | 100% | - | $14K |
| 8 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 100% | - | $25K |
| 9 | Friedrich Merz | 100% | - | $14K |
| 10 | Maria Corina Machado | 100% | - | $10K |
| 11 | Mohammed bin Salman | 69% | +45% | $7K |
| 12 | Vladimir Putin | 26% | +285% | $28K |
| 13 | Changpeng Zhao | 24% | +308% | $22K |
| 14 | Aleksandr Lukashenko | 22% | +344% | $23K |
| 15 | Delcy Rodríguez | 20% | +413% | $244 |
| 16 | King Mohammed VI | 17% | +488% | $2K |
| 17 | Pope Leo XIV | 14% | +590% | $24K |
| 18 | Kim Jong Un | 12% | +770% | $36K |
| 19 | MrBeast | 10% | +852% | $14K |
| 20 | iShowSpeed BEST VALUE | 8% | +1225% | $17K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is def...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump meet with in 2026? will occur, with $767K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Giorgia Meloni is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $10K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Giorgia Meloni at 100% probability, with $767K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $767K, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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