The market strongly favors Keir Starmer at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keir Starmer | 96% | +4% | $5K |
| 2 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 94% | +7% | $17K |
| 3 | Giorgia Meloni | 93% | +8% | $752 |
| 4 | Joseph Aoun | 82% | +22% | $3K |
| 5 | Benjamin Netanyahu | 52% | +94% | $3K |
| 6 | Elon Musk | 20% | +388% | $2K |
| 7 | Mohammed bin Salman BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $100 |
| 8 | Vladimir Putin | 4% | +2400% | $350 |
| 9 | Miguel Díaz-Canel | 3% | +3604% | $524 |
| 10 | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 2% | +4067% | $2K |
| 11 | Kim Jong Un | 1% | +7307% | $1K |
| 12 | Xi Jinping | 1% | +12400% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump meet with in July? will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Keir Starmer is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (46% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 04, 2026 at 07:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Keir Starmer at 96% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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