The market strongly favors Xi Jinping at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xi Jinping | 94% | +6% | $353 |
| 2 | Andy Burnham | 76% | +31% | $991 |
| 3 | Friedrich Merz | 73% | +37% | $207 |
| 4 | Mark Rutte | 72% | +39% | $497 |
| 5 | Emmanuel Macron | 68% | +48% | - |
| 6 | Vladimir Putin | 66% | +53% | $1K |
| 7 | Ursula von der Leyen | 65% | +54% | $262 |
| 8 | Mark Carney | 64% | +55% | $111 |
| 9 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 64% | +56% | $888 |
| 10 | Mohammed bin Salman | 63% | +59% | $504 |
| 11 | Lula da Silva | 51% | +96% | $1K |
| 12 | Elon Musk | 48% | +106% | $20 |
| 13 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 34% | +194% | $227 |
| 14 | Masoud Pezeshkian | 14% | +590% | $5K |
| 15 | Maria Corina Machado | 13% | +669% | $812 |
| 16 | Kim Jong Un | 12% | +700% | $735 |
| 17 | Pope Leo XIV | 10% | +953% | $447 |
| 18 | Reza Pahlavi | 8% | +1233% | $1K |
| 19 | Miguel Díaz-Canel BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | - |
| 20 | Mojtaba Khamenei | 5% | +1941% | $101 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump speak to in September? will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Xi Jinping is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 27, 2026 at 04:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Xi Jinping at 94% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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