No clear favorite. Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? | 16% | +525% | $22K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a...
This prediction market tracks whether Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? leads at only 16% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (54% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 12, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? at 16% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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