Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Ends Nov 04, 2026 · Volume: $69K · 24h: $16K · Updated Nov 02, 2026 at 11:25 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 22% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? 70% +44% $69K
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Quick Math — $100 on Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Buy Price
$0.69
If Right
+$43.88
Return
+44%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-off...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? will occur, with $69K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

Traders lean toward Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (22% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$69K
Liquidity
$62K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races??

As of Nov 02, 2026 at 11:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? at 70% probability, with $69K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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