No clear favorite. UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? leads at just 15%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | 15% | +567% | $190K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Se...
This prediction market tracks whether UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? will occur, with $190K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? leads at only 15% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $14K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? at 15% probability, with $190K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $190K, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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