The market strongly favors May 8 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 8 | 100% | - | $35K |
| 2 | May 10 | 100% | - | $13K |
| 3 | May 12 | 100% | - | $21K |
| 4 | May 1 | 100% | - | $22K |
| 5 | May 3 | 100% | - | $11K |
| 6 | May 5 | 100% | - | $19K |
| 7 | May 2 | 100% | - | $8K |
| 8 | May 4 | 100% | - | $17K |
| 9 | May 6 | 100% | - | $70K |
| 10 | May 7 | 100% | - | $90K |
| 11 | May 9 | 100% | - | $17K |
| 12 | May 11 | 100% | - | $26K |
| 13 | May 13 | 100% | - | $23K |
| 14 | May 14 | 100% | +0% | $63K |
| 15 | May 22 | 89% | +12% | $676 |
| 16 | May 18 | 88% | +13% | $1000 |
| 17 | May 20 | 88% | +14% | $1K |
| 18 | May 21 | 88% | +14% | $437 |
| 19 | May 23 | 88% | +14% | $104 |
| 20 | May 30 BEST VALUE | 88% | +14% | $90 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative mann...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is May 8 at 100% probability, with $460K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $460K, with $58K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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