No clear favorite. December 31 leads at just 15%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 15% | +567% | $38K |
| 2 | October 31 BEST VALUE | 9% | +1011% | $7K |
| 3 | September 30 | 3% | +3075% | $998 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purp...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Trump visit Greenland by...? will occur, with $280K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — December 31 leads at only 15% across 3 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $25K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 19, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 15% probability, with $280K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $280K, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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