No clear favorite. Will Venezuela become 51st state? leads at just 4%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | 4% | +2757% | $368K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether Will Venezuela become 51st state? will occur, with $368K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will Venezuela become 51st state? leads at only 4% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $16K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 28, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Venezuela become 51st state? at 4% probability, with $368K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $368K, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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