No clear favorite. December 31 leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 10% | +953% | $284K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under...
This prediction market tracks whether Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...? will occur, with $1.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — December 31 leads at only 10% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-01-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 06:45 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 10% probability, with $1.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.3M, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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