No clear favorite. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 24% | +317% | $20K |
| 2 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 22% | +365% | $41 |
| 3 | Adam Hamilton | 17% | +488% | $41 |
| 4 | Rob Sand | 10% | +852% | $587 |
| 5 | James Talarico | 8% | +1182% | $5K |
| 6 | Gretchen Whitmer | 7% | +1270% | $11K |
| 7 | Elissa Slotkin | 7% | +1349% | $5K |
| 8 | Wes Moore BEST VALUE | 6% | +1450% | $5K |
| 9 | Pete Buttigieg | 5% | +2005% | $8K |
| 10 | Jon Ossoff | 4% | +2226% | $4K |
| 11 | Raphael Warnock | 4% | +2339% | $3K |
| 12 | Mark Kelly | 3% | +3233% | $6K |
| 13 | Andy Beshear | 2% | +4067% | $6K |
| 14 | Josh Shapiro | 2% | +4551% | $6K |
| 15 | Gavin Newsom | 2% | +5456% | $3K |
| 16 | Kamala Harris | 2% | +5456% | $1K |
| 17 | Roy Cooper | 2% | +5614% | $3K |
| 18 | Ruben Gallego | 2% | +5782% | $1K |
| 19 | Ro Khanna | 1% | +6797% | $4K |
| 20 | Tim Walz | 1% | +8991% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts...
This prediction market tracks whether Democratic VP Nominee 2028 will occur, with $165K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at only 24% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $22K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 06, 2026 at 03:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 24% probability, with $165K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $165K, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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