No clear favorite. 120-139 leads at just 38%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 120-139 | 38% | +160% | $4K |
| 2 | 140-159 | 20% | +413% | $570 |
| 3 | 100-119 | 18% | +454% | $3K |
| 4 | 160-179 | 13% | +669% | $410 |
| 5 | 200+ | 8% | +1233% | $812 |
| 6 | 180-199 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1404% | $294 |
| 7 | 80-99 | 1% | +7900% | $7K |
| 8 | 60-79 | 1% | +8991% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this...
This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026? will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 120-139 leads at only 38% across 8 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (48% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 01, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 120-139 at 38% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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