The market strongly favors Above 3% at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Above 3% | 100% | - | $280K |
| 2 | Above 3.5% | 100% | - | $177K |
| 3 | Above 4% | 97% | +3% | $226K |
| 4 | Above 4.5% | 58% | +72% | $6K |
| 5 | Above 5% | 32% | +217% | $132K |
| 6 | Above 6% | 17% | +488% | $38K |
| 7 | Above 8% | 8% | +1120% | $37K |
| 8 | Above 10% BEST VALUE | 6% | +1526% | $38K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3% at 100% probability, with $934K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $934K, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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