No clear favorite. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? leads at just 6%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | 6% | +1718% | $38K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran...
This prediction market tracks whether Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
No clear favorite has emerged — Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? leads at only 6% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (82% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? at 6% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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