No clear favorite. June 30 leads at just 32%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 30 | 32% | +217% | $71K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...? will occur, with $228K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — June 30 leads at only 32% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $12K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 22:05 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30 at 32% probability, with $228K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $228K, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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