No clear favorite. Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? leads at just 1%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | 1% | +16567% | $422K |
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The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (F...
This prediction market tracks whether Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? will occur, with $404K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? leads at only 1% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $80K traded in the last 24 hours alone (20% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? at 1% probability, with $404K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $404K, with $80K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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