No clear favorite. Maduro guilty of all counts? leads at just 14%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maduro guilty of all counts? | 14% | +614% | $119K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027,...
This prediction market tracks whether Maduro guilty of all counts? will occur, with $119K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Maduro guilty of all counts? leads at only 14% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $14K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 19, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Maduro guilty of all counts? at 14% probability, with $119K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $119K, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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