Maine Senate Election Winner

Ends Nov 03, 2026 · Volume: $1.4M · 24h: $12K · Updated Sep 16, 2026 at 02:35 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

Troy Jackson (D) leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

High Volume — $1.4M traded
💤 Quiet Low recent activity — this market may be waiting for a catalyst
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Troy Jackson (D) 70% +42% $810K
2 Susan Collins (R) 30% +228% $545K
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Quick Math — $100 on Troy Jackson (D)
Buy Price
$0.70
If Right
+$41.84
Return
+42%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he o...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Maine Senate Election Winner will occur, with $1.4M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

Traders lean toward Troy Jackson (D) at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

The market has seen $12K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$212K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Maine Senate Election Winner?

As of Sep 16, 2026 at 02:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Troy Jackson (D) at 70% probability, with $1.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Maine Senate Election Winner?

The total trading volume for this market is $1.4M, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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