Market is split — Lee Shu-chuan at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Shu-chuan | 56% | +79% | $30K |
| 2 | Candidate A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Candidate L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Candidate M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Candidate N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Candidate O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Candidate P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Candidate Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Candidate R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Candidate S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Te...
This prediction market tracks whether New Taipei Mayor Election Winner will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Lee Shu-chuan leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (25% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 05, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Lee Shu-chuan at 56% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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