Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 80% | +26% | $9K |
| 2 | Person AH BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person AM | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person AR | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person X | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person AC | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person T | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person W | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person Y | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person AB | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person AD | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Person AG | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vot...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Prime Minister of Spain? will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (89% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-03-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 04:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 80% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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