Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 130+ | 28% | $26K |
| 2 | 100–109 | 16% | $21K |
| 3 | 110–119 | 16% | $10K |
| 4 | 120-129 | 16% | $8K |
| 5 | 70–79 | 8% | $218K |
| 6 | 90–99 | 7% | $13K |
| 7 | 80–89 | 6% | $398K |
| 8 | <70 | 5% | $608K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 130+ at 28% probability, with $1.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.3M, with $96K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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