Market is split — March 31, 2027 at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | March 31, 2027 | 52% | +90% | $24K |
| 2 | June 30, 2027 | 52% | +92% | $11K |
| 3 | December 31, 2026 BEST VALUE | 33% | +205% | $76K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, be...
This prediction market tracks whether Pete Hegseth impeached by...? will occur, with $282K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with March 31, 2027 leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $61K traded in the last 24 hours alone (22% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 06, 2026 at 04:15 UTC, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 52% probability, with $282K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $282K, with $61K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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