The market strongly favors Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $141.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | - | $141.3M |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 20...
As of May 11, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? at 100% probability, with $141.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $141.3M, with $134.2M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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