No clear favorite. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? leads at just 1%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $31.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 1% | +18082% | $31.0M |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market cre...
As of May 29, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? at 1% probability, with $31.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $31.0M, with $879K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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